Long-Run Growth Forecasting
This book explores how to set up an empirical model that helps with forecasting long-term economic growth in a large number of countries. It offers a systematic approach to models of potential GDP that can also be used for forecasts of more than a decade. It is an attempt to fill the wide gap betwee...
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| Language: | English |
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Berlin, Heidelberg :
Springer Berlin Heidelberg : Imprint: Springer,
2008.
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| Edition: | 1st ed. 2008. |
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| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-77680-2 |
Table of Contents:
- The importance of long-run growth analysis
- Assessment of growth theories
- The dependent variable: GDP growth
- Labor input
- Physical capital
- Human capital
- Openness
- Spatial linkages
- Other determinants of GDP
- The theory of forecasting
- The evolution of growth empirics
- Estimation results
- Forecast competitions and 2006-2020 forecasts
- Conclusion and outlook.